This commentary was published in commemoration of International Fact-Checking Day 2024, held April 2 each year to recognize the work of fact-checkers worldwide. Tech4Peace is a fact-checking organization that focuses on debunking misinformation that promotes violence; its current focus is on the Middle East and Iraq. A longer version of this piece is available on the Tech4Peace website.
The bombing of Erbil in the Kurdistan region of northern Iraq on Jan. 15 also resulted in waves of disruption across social media platforms and feeds. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard claimed responsibility for the attack, saying its intent was to destroy espionage headquarters connected to Israel.
But as the real and virtual dust settled, it became evident that misinformation around the tragedy had blurred the lines between truth and fabrication. Whatever the facts of the Erbil bombing on the ground — some of which are still being determined — the online conversation was dominated by manipulation and readily debunked propaganda.
Let’s delve into the numbers and narratives that emerged in the wake of the bombing, shedding light on the tangled landscape of online discourse.
Statistics before and after the bombing
To analyze the online environment, Tech4Peace found hashtags in the original Arabic that translated to #Erbil_Safe_For_Zionists, #Erbil_Den_Of_Zionists, #Iranian_Revolutionary_Guard, #Bombing_Erbil, Mossad, and #Erbil. An estimated 179.6 million people were reached through 18,000 posts spanning cities worldwide between Jan. 14 and Jan. 24. The chart below shows posting density, with a darker color indicating a higher density of posts; posting reached the highest densities in Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United States.
(Courtesy: Tech4Peace)
The chart below shows the number of posts that bear those hashtags, which were published, tagged (mentioned) and reposted. The following chart breaks down the demographics of accounts engaging with these hashtags, revealing a diverse spectrum of participants. From individuals with a modest following to influencers with thousands of followers, the discussion permeated through various strata of social media.
(Courtesy: Tech4Peace)
(Courtesy: Tech4Peace)
However, it’s not just about the numbers; it’s about the narrative they construct.
The languages spoken in these posts were mostly Arabic, followed by Persian. This linguistic division reflects engagement predominantly from Iraq and Iran.
(Courtesy: Tech4Peace)
Some users, residing in seemingly unrelated countries like India or South Korea, joined the discourse. Possible explanation? Iraqis living abroad, the use of bots and the cloak of virtual private networks, which obscure geographical boundaries in the digital realm.
(Courtesy: Tech4Peace)
(Courtesy: Tech4Peace)
(Courtesy: Tech4Peace)
Along with the hashtags, fabricated stories, crafted to support the Iranian narrative, flooded social media feeds. But upon closer inspection, many of the claims used fabricated evidence.
Take, for instance, an Instagram-style post purportedly from Al Jazeera, depicting an emergency Israeli National Security Council meeting in response to Iranian strikes. However, the Al Jazeera channel never broadcast such a news item or anything similar. The post was a cleverly disguised forgery.
Similarly, images circulated portraying Kurdish businessman Peshraw Dizayee in the company of security forces, Mossad agents and a rabbi. Yet, meticulous investigations debunked these as digitally altered fabrications.
Even videos, ostensibly showcasing American consulate defenses in Erbil, proved to be recycled footage from an unrelated incident in 2022. The misappropriation of content served to perpetuate false narratives, muddying the waters of truth.
In the era of digital information overload, discerning fact from fiction has become an arduous task. The bombing of Erbil serves as a stark reminder of the dangers lurking in the virtual realm, where misinformation can proliferate unchecked, shaping perceptions and driving agendas.
